The 108-seat Assembly election is the icing on the settlement cake. Following on the huge referendum yes vote, the UUP will trounce the DUP, and the SDLP is exceedingly likely to handsomely defeat SF in the battle for nationalist hearts and minds. For the first time ever, the unionist majority will be small. The unionist bloc will win about 57 seats, with roughly 41 seats for the nationalist bloc and 10 or so for the Alliance Party.